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Post by floatyghosthat on Apr 7, 2011 23:04:18 GMT -5
Okay, I know, next to a miracle, there's very little that will stop Phoenix from making the playoffs. However, if the circumstances are JUST right, it could happen.
For anyone who's interested, here's a list of what has to happen for Phoenix to miss the playoffs...
Phoenix losses to San Jose in regulation (Friday)
Phoenix losses to San Jose in regulation (Saturday)
Dallas wins against Coloradio in regulation or OT (Thursday)
Dallas wins against Colorado in regulation or OT (Firday)
Dallas wins against Minnesota in regulation or OT (Sunday)
Chicago needs at least 2 points in their last 2 games against Detroit (Friday, Sunday)
Anahiem needs at least 2 points in their last 2 games against L.A. (Friday, Saturday)
So, yeah, it's a long shot to say the least. But hey, at least it's not impossible!
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Post by floatyghosthat on Apr 7, 2011 23:09:37 GMT -5
Sidenote; if this were to happen, it would mean Calgary misses the playoffs too. Sorry Flames fans.
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Post by The Winning Pegs on Apr 7, 2011 23:13:44 GMT -5
calgary's already out sorry
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Post by iliketherangers on Apr 7, 2011 23:19:40 GMT -5
yeah, flying ghost, calgary's out. the only team that's out and can clinch a spot is dallas
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Post by razorsedge on Apr 7, 2011 23:20:10 GMT -5
Good thread. I never really paid attention to the standings, until I read this. There is a very real possibility the coyotes will miss out or at least drop a spot in the standings.
I'd be curious to see if the coyotes games were sellouts if they played San Jose or Vancouver instead of Detroit.
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Post by iliketherangers on Apr 7, 2011 23:21:09 GMT -5
i have a question. For a tiebreaker, is the deciding factor shootout WINS, OR shootouts PLAYED? cause dallas has more shootouts played.
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Post by Jordy Ramone on Apr 7, 2011 23:23:37 GMT -5
Good thread. I never really paid attention to the standings, until I read this. There is a very real possibility the coyotes will miss out or at least drop a spot in the standings. I'd be curious to see if the coyotes games were sellouts if they played San Jose or Vancouver instead of Detroit. All this excitement and still no one will go to the game....  |
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Post by floatyghosthat on Apr 8, 2011 0:18:49 GMT -5
i have a question. For a tiebreaker, is the deciding factor shootout WINS, OR shootouts PLAYED? cause dallas has more shootouts played. It goes by points, then wins EXCLUDING Shootouts. Just regulation and OT. Phoenix has one more than Dallas as of tonight. So, Dallas needs to get 2 more to beat them. Then it goes to games vs. each other (Phoenix has that one) Then goal differences. P.S. Sorry guys, I was too focused on the teams in play, didn't really look at Calgary. |
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Post by The Winning Pegs on Apr 8, 2011 0:20:42 GMT -5
i calculate it at a 6% chance of missing the playoffs
(if each game is 50/50 chance of winning/loosing)
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Post by iliketherangers on Apr 8, 2011 0:43:56 GMT -5
i calculate it at a 6% chance of missing the playoffs (if each game is 50/50 chance of winning/loosing) well considering the yotes` oppenet is hard, and the stars` opponents are easy, i wouldnt make it 50/50. nice calculations though. math was never my best subject.  |
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Post by shanehoopfer on Apr 8, 2011 0:45:30 GMT -5
the back to backs are always tough to sweep. But the hardest part of the whole equation is likely Phoenix not pulling out at least a point in those two games.
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Post by iliketherangers on Apr 8, 2011 0:50:40 GMT -5
yeah, idk. those 3 point games seem to happen every other match. i predict theyll pull one point out.  |
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Post by floatyghosthat on Apr 8, 2011 1:12:44 GMT -5
Chances are they will make it, but on the plus side, the more they lose, the further they drop and the harder opponent they face.
The problem with that being that a series against Detroit or Vancouver will sell out.
Now if they faced Nashville... the lack of fans would cause a vacuum that would rip the arena apart.
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Post by whitecaps on Apr 8, 2011 9:13:32 GMT -5
very good chance they will make the playoffs, UNFORTUNATELY!!! if that does happen, I bet there arena will be packed with people whether supporting the Coyotes OR the opposition. I'm sure tickets will almost be given away to make Phoenix look good, and all the naysayers look bad!
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Post by swervinmervin123 on Apr 8, 2011 9:26:04 GMT -5
^^^^ I agree, whitecaps!
Tonight is a big night in this playoff showdown. I think I counted that there are 5 separate games tonight that factor into the Coyotes playoff question. I will be keeping track of those scores with great interest tonight!!!
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Post by swervinmervin123 on Apr 8, 2011 9:38:16 GMT -5
^^^^ I counted 5 games that matter tonight, because I was counting Nashville as well. But, it looks like if Nashville and Phoenix were tied, the tie breaker would LIKELY go to Nashville. In order for Phoenix to miss the playoffs, Phoenix must lose both of their remaining games in regulation time. The only way Nashville would remain tied with Phoenix at that point is if Nashville also lost both their remaining games in regulation time. In that case, both teams would have the same number of ROW wins (wins in reg. or OT), and the season series would be tied. But Nashville would likely get the tiebreaker and make the playoffs based on for and against goals stats, where they are currently better than Phoenix by 18 goals - likely an insurmountable difference for the remaining 2 games! So, I think that is why the Nashville game may be regarded as a game that doesn't matter for Phoenix's playoff quest, since Phoenix won't finish ahead of Nashville either way.
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Post by floatyghosthat on Apr 8, 2011 19:30:24 GMT -5
Yeah, I didn't really include Nashville since for Phoenix to beat them (and still lose all their games) Nashville would have to lose their last 2 games by a combined score of 20 goals. Not overly likely, but who knows.
On the plus side;
3-0 Chicago after 1,
1-0 Nashville in the 1st.
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Post by tim on Apr 8, 2011 20:17:53 GMT -5
Any clue what attendance will be tonight.
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Post by trigger204 on Apr 8, 2011 20:40:11 GMT -5
Any clue what attendance will be tonight. I would hope a sellout. . . so lame if it's not. not that it would be a huge surprise though. |
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Post by floatyghosthat on Apr 8, 2011 21:12:20 GMT -5
Chicago wins!
Nashville and Dallas both winning by 2. It's a great night so far!
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